Journal of Economic Development
No. 198 , February 2011, Page 26-33


Determining Prioritized Industries In Đà Nẵng Via The Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model
NGUYỄN MẠNH TOÀN

DOI:
Abstract
The Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model (hereinafter referred to as “Dynamic CGE Model”) has been applied in many of countries in the world. It enables to study chronological impacts of investment policies on the local economic development based on various scenarios. This study is to investigate the application of the Dynamic CGE Model into finding certain industries which will bring in the optimum growth for Đà Nẵng City in the period 2011-2020. The interviews have proven that processing and trading are two industries with the pervasive impact on the municipal economy. Thus, if investments are poured into them, they will definitely generate favorable stimuli to the growth of production value and gross output of Đà Nẵng City. The industries of construction and hospitality, due to not having a close linkage with other industries of the city, have not generated a high pervasiveness.

Keywords
Dynamic CGE Model; Prioritized Industries.
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