Journal of Asian Business and Economic Studies
Vol. 32(3) , August 2025, Page 147–159


Impact of pilot free trade zones on outward foreign direct investment: evidence from China
Markus Leibrecht & Christian Bellak & Ming Chen & Zhoufu Yan

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Received: November 03, 2025
Revised: November 03, 2025
Accepted: August 01, 2025
Published: November 03, 2025
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Abstract
Purpose This study investigates the causal impact of pilot free trade zones (PFTZs) on Chinese outward foreign direct investment (OFDI). Design/methodology/approach The study uses the concept of ownership advantage (OA) to derive the conceptual link between PFTZs and OFDI. Using Chinese provincial data from 2003 to 2022, the study employs various difference-in-difference estimators to estimate homogeneous and heterogeneous treatment effects. Findings Assuming a homogeneous treatment effect on the treated, implementing a PFTZ spurs OFDI. However, considering heterogeneity in treatment effects over cohorts and time diminishes the evidence for a positive impact. A positive causal effect on OFDI is established only for the Shanghai (China) PFTZ. Practical implications As China is a leading emerging economy with a state-driven development model, this study has significant implications for other developing and middle-income countries seeking to leverage PFTZs – or similar special economic zones – to stimulate OFDI. Originality/value This study conceptually links PFTZs to OFDI through the OA framework and explicitly models heterogeneity of effects across batches of PFTZs and over time. The latter is essential, as institutional differences across PFTZs may result in varying degrees of generation and overseas exploitation of OAs.

Keywords
China pilot free trade zone, Outward foreign direct investment, Difference-in-differences, Heterogenous treatment effects, Policy evaluation
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