Journal of Asian Business and Economic Studies
Vol. 31(5) , December 2024, Page 338–350


Credit spread drivers and cross-country connectedness: a study of emerging economies in Asia
Mohit Kumar & P. Krishna Prasanna

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Received: November 14, 2025
Revised: November 14, 2025
Accepted: December 01, 2024
Published: November 14, 2025
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Abstract
Purpose While the existing literature lacks a holistic approach to determining credit spreads and is limited to mostly developed countries, this study investigates credit spread determinants and their cross-country connectedness in the context of four emerging economies in Asia by incorporating bonds, market risk, macroeconomic and global factors. Design/methodology/approach This study utilizes principal component analysis for dimensionality reduction and variable representation. Furthermore, we employ the dynamic conditional correlation–generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity model to capture the cross-country credit spread connectedness between the variables. Findings The findings indicate that market volatilities are the most significant drivers of credit spreads, while global factors play a moderating role. Furthermore, the results provide compelling evidence of cross-country credit spread connectedness, with China as the primary transmitter and Malaysia as the primary receiver among the selected emerging economies. Originality/value This study addresses the limitations of previous research by extending the analysis beyond the commonly studied developed economies and focusing on emerging economies in Asia. It also employs a comprehensive approach to determine credit spread and explores cross-country credit spread connectedness in developing economies, thereby shedding light on financial risks and vulnerabilities within interconnected global financial systems.

Keywords
Credit spreads, Corporate bonds, Emerging countries, Cross-country connectedness
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