Journal of Asian Business and Economic Studies
Vol. 31(5) , December 2024, Page 338–350


Credit spread drivers and cross-country connectedness: a study of emerging economies in Asia
Mohit Kumar & P. Krishna Prasanna

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/JABES-10-2023-0392
Abstract
Purpose While the existing literature lacks a holistic approach to determining credit spreads and is limited to mostly developed countries, this study investigates credit spread determinants and their cross-country connectedness in the context of four emerging economies in Asia by incorporating bonds, market risk, macroeconomic and global factors. Design/methodology/approach This study utilizes principal component analysis for dimensionality reduction and variable representation. Furthermore, we employ the dynamic conditional correlation–generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity model to capture the cross-country credit spread connectedness between the variables. Findings The findings indicate that market volatilities are the most significant drivers of credit spreads, while global factors play a moderating role. Furthermore, the results provide compelling evidence of cross-country credit spread connectedness, with China as the primary transmitter and Malaysia as the primary receiver among the selected emerging economies. Originality/value This study addresses the limitations of previous research by extending the analysis beyond the commonly studied developed economies and focusing on emerging economies in Asia. It also employs a comprehensive approach to determine credit spread and explores cross-country credit spread connectedness in developing economies, thereby shedding light on financial risks and vulnerabilities within interconnected global financial systems.

Keywords
Credit spreads, Corporate bonds, Emerging countries, Cross-country connectedness
The role of debt maturity in stock price crash risk: a comparison of developing and developed Asian economies
2025, Journal of Asian Business and Economic Studies More

The underpricing and long-term performance of Chinese IPOs listed on the Hong Kong exchange
2025, Journal of Asian Business and Economic Studies More

The dynamic relationship between ASEAN+6 exchange rates and stock markets: application of the ARDL model
2025, Journal of Asian Business and Economic Studies More

Do average higher moments predict aggregate returns in emerging stock markets?
2022, Journal of Asian Business and Economic Studies More

ESG and firm performance: do stakeholder engagement, financial constraints and religiosity matter?
2025, Journal of Asian Business and Economic Studies More